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Bitcoin Miners Face a Squeeze as BTC Production Cost Remains Well Above Spot Market Value

Bitcoin Miners Face a Squeeze as BTC Production Cost Remains Well Above Spot Market ValueBitcoin miners are dealing with lots of pressure following the recent difficulty adjustment increase on Nov. 20, 2022, and the leading crypto asset dropping further in value against the U.S. dollar following FTX’s collapse. Statistics recorded this past weekend show that bitcoin’s average cost of production has been a lot higher than bitcoin’s USD value […]

Bitcoin Miners Face a Squeeze as BTC Production Cost Remains Well Above Spot Market Value

Bitcoin miners are dealing with lots of pressure following the recent difficulty adjustment increase on Nov. 20, 2022, and the leading crypto asset dropping further in value against the U.S. dollar following FTX’s collapse. Statistics recorded this past weekend show that bitcoin’s average cost of production has been a lot higher than bitcoin’s USD value recorded on spot market exchanges.

Statistics Show Bitcoin’s Cost of Production Is a Lot Higher Than the Leading Crypto Asset’s USD Value

On Sunday, Bitcoin.com reported on Bitcoin’s difficulty rising by 0.51% at block height 764,064, and the increase pushed the difficulty to an all-time high at 36.95 trillion. After that difficulty transition, data shows the overall global hashrate dropped from 317 exahash per second (EH/s) to 233 EH/s.

The hashrate is currently coasting along at 250.59 EH/s, according to records from coinwarz.com. At the same time, BTC’s fiat value dropped a great deal after FTX collapsed and filed for bankruptcy protection.

Statistics on Nov. 21, 2022, show that the cost of bitcoin production is much higher than BTC’s current USD spot market value. The metrics recorded by macromicro.me indicate that the average mining cost is $19,662 today, while the USD value of BTC is recorded at 16,120 nominal U.S. dollars per unit.

The macromicro.me statistics indicate that bitcoin’s price in comparison to the cost of BTC production has been lower since Oct. 6, 2022. Macromicro.me says that the web portal uses data collected from Cambridge University in order to “find out the average mining costs of bitcoin.”

“When mining costs are lower than bitcoin’s market value, more miners will join,” the macromicro.me website details. “When mining costs are higher than miner’s revenue, [the] number of miners will decrease.”

In addition to the metrics showcased on macromicro.me, Glassnode’s hash price chart indicates that the hash price is at an all-time low. The chart highlights a “metric for estimating daily miner incomes, relative to their estimated contribution to network hash-power,” Glassnode’s description notes.

Analytics from braiins.com also indicate that the current hash value is lower than the current hash price. Similar to macromicro.me’s stats, braiins.com metrics show the change occurred around Oct. 6, 2022. If bitcoin prices don’t increase or if they drop lower, a number of BTC Mining operations will face a squeeze out of the industry if they are not facing this situation already.

What do you think about bitcoin’s spot market value dropping below the crypto asset’s cost of production? Let us know what you think about this subject in the comments section below.

Source: Mining Archives – Bitcoin News

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Mining

Bitcoin’s Mining Difficulty Expected to Drop Significantly, Retarget Could Be 2022’s Largest Reduction

Bitcoin’s Mining Difficulty Expected to Drop Significantly, Retarget Could Be 2022’s Largest ReductionBitcoin miners could catch a break in a week or so, on or around Dec. 5, 2022, as the next difficulty retarget is expected to see a significantly large reduction. Estimates show the next difficulty retarget could drop anywhere between 6.13% and 10% lower. Presently, the difficulty change looks as though it could be 2022’s […]

Bitcoin’s Mining Difficulty Expected to Drop Significantly, Retarget Could Be 2022’s Largest Reduction

Bitcoin miners could catch a break in a week or so, on or around Dec. 5, 2022, as the next difficulty retarget is expected to see a significantly large reduction. Estimates show the next difficulty retarget could drop anywhere between 6.13% and 10% lower. Presently, the difficulty change looks as though it could be 2022’s largest reduction if it surpasses the 5.01% decline recorded on July 21.

Bitcoin’s Next Difficulty Retarget Is Expected to Decrease, Data Suggests a Notable Drop in the Cards

When the last Bitcoin difficulty change occurred on Nov. 20, 2022, at block height 764,064, it increased by a mere 0.51% that day. The increase did, however, propel the network’s difficulty to its lifetime high of 36.95 trillion. Since then, during the past week, the network’s average hashrate has been around 249.1 exahash per second (EH/s).

The average Bitcoin network block time has been slower than usual as well, running between 10.2 minutes to 11.06 minutes on Monday evening (ET). The block intervals have been a lot higher since the difficulty change on Nov. 20, as prior to that day, block times had been on average less than ten minutes since Sept. 29.

The longer block times suggest the 2,016 blocks mined prior to the next retarget will be slower than the average of two weeks. At the time of writing, statistics indicate that the retarget could drop as low as 10% on Dec. 5, and metrics from Btc.com indicate the drop is estimated to be around 6.13%.

Both estimates would outpace the largest difficulty contraction the Bitcoin network has seen all year with the largest decrease so far recorded on July 21, which was approximately -5.01%. Miners are currently dealing with the highest difficulty ever recorded, and bitcoin (BTC) prices are 76% lower than the all-time high ($69K) recorded on Nov. 10, 2021.

Mining insights from braiins.com and macromicro.me show BTC’s cost of production ($18,360) is above the current spot market value ($16,250). Additionally, market intelligence from Glassnode indicates that bitcoin miners are tapping into their treasuries.

The onchain analytics firm Glassnode tweeted about how the bitcoin mining sector and industry is “under immense financial stress,” while announcing a mining report the firm published with Cryptoslate.

“What we find is that [bitcoin] miners are distributing around 135% of mined coins,” Glassnode said. “This means miners are dipping into their 78K [bitcoin] strong treasuries.” During the latter half of the year, publicly-listed mining operations have disclosed that they have been selling BTC to bolster cash reserves and pay down debt.

At the time of writing at 7:30 p.m. (ET), Foundry USA’s three-day hashrate is around 60.66 EH/s, which represents 25.45% of the global hashrate. In three days, the largest mining pool Foundry mined 98 BTC blocks out of 385 discovered by all the miners.

Foundry’s hashrate is followed by Antpool, F2pool, Binance Pool, and Viabtc respectively. Between all five pools over the last three days, the top five mining pools were able to discover 315 blocks out of the 385 total.

What do you think about the chance that the next difficulty retarget could be the largest decrease in 2022? Let us know what you think about this subject in the comments section below.

Source: Mining Archives – Bitcoin News

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